Saturday, September 14th, 2024 4:00pm EST
TV/Video: ESPNU
Radio: FLAGSHIP 97.3 FM (North Wilkesboro),1060 AM/97.3 FM, & 1030 AM/99.1 FM (Charlotte), 96.3 FM (Greensboro), 96.3 FM (Winston-Salem), 1350 AM/96.1 FM (Asheville), 790 AM/93.7 FM (Johnson City), 1450 AM107.7 FM (Hendersonville), 1250 AM/103.9 FM (Marion); The Varsity Network App, Sirius/XM 990
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Surface: Natural Grass
Jeff Sagarin Ratings
App State: 68.50
East Carolina: 66.02
Home: 2.79
East Carolina is favored by the Sagarin ratings by .31 points
VegasInsider Line: App State -2.5
Series: App State leads 21-12
Last Meeting: App State 43 East Carolina 28, September 16, 2023, Boone, NC
How about, we not do that again? That was certainly a game that will be hard to forget, even if it was unmemorable. Shall we move on? We’ll try. Whatever the result of last week, the focus would have been on this weekend. A rivalry that has been renewed, playing its third game in four seasons. Remember when this contract was signed, it was such a big deal that East Carolina needed to play in Boone or Charlotte first to hold up their end of the bargain? In a way to hold the Pirates to their word. That seems crazy to think of at this point. Now that the series has shifted to Greenville, not many in and around Pitt County would have imagined that Appalachian would have won the first two contests. Games played in the land of whole hog and vinegar are a lot different than those played in the twilight of a Charlotte skyline or a sunny September day along the Blue Ridge. The Mountaineers have not beaten the Pirates where the soil is sandy since 1959. Can they overcome the flatlands and the humidity for generational win?
The Pirates are off to a better start in 2024 than they had last year. At this point, we did not know that East Carolina’s first opponent in 2023 would become the eventual national champion. The Pirates then hosted and lost to Marshall in a weather delayed game before visiting Boone in the third week of the season. They started 0-3 and finished 2-10 with wins over Gardner Webb and Florida Atlantic. Nowadays, a 2-10 record would typically get a coach in his fifth season fired, but East Carolina has stayed the course, as they are only one season removed from a bowl appearance in 2022. So the Pirates have started the season differently, hosting FCS Norfolk State and going on a quick road trip to Norfolk to face Old Dominion. Norfolk State was a three win team last year and Old Dominion finished the season 6-6 with a bowl loss to Western Kentucky. However, the Monarchs hung with South Carolina a week ago on the road, but remain 0-2 on the season.
Last week, the Pirates depended up on their ground game with Rahjai Harris to move the ball. Harris is a senior, returning after a 485 yard campaign from a year ago. This will be the third time the Mountaineers have seen Harris as he has been with East Carolina throughout his college career. He had eight carries for 22 yards in 2021 while backing up Keaton Mitchell who is in the NFL. Harris scored two of his five touchdowns last year against App State in a 56-yard effort in Boone. It was not until the final game of 2023 when Mitchell was able to break through with 145 yards against Tulsa. He did not see the field much against Norfolk State, but his usage against Old Dominion appears to be a better predictor for his 2024 campaign. Harris is a big back, at 5’11” and 214 pounds. He ran for 131 yards last week on 26 carries, but nearly half of those came on a 63 yard touchdown run in the third quarter. That score gave ECU their first lead that they would never relinquish. Harris’ other 25 carries went for just 68 yards, but ECU was relentless in feeding him the ball.
Yikes. It’s awfully late in the week to go through the motions about last Saturday. Regardless, it happened, and even though we want to forget it, it still happened. There were a lot of things Clemson did that they did not need to do in order to win. They did not need to convert half of their third downs. They did not need to be perfect on five opportunities in the red zone. They did not need to force the Mountaineers to punt eight times, nor rack up over 700 yards of offense or kick a third quarter field goal in order to win. But they did all of those things, and no matter what, Appalachian State was not going to win on that Saturday night. The only cure for this pain is to play another game and be victorious. There is no doubt in my mind that we will witness an appropriate response this weekend. This program only digs in deeper when they have underperformed, and it does not take anyone outside the football buildings to tell them that.
It wasn’t all bad. There are a few bright spots to mention. The running back rotation was very evident. Although carries and catches do not resemble a players true workload in as much as the number of routes they ran, or snaps they played, it does give us something. Anderson Castle and Ahmani Marshall both carried the ball seven times, with Castle running for 80 yards and Marshall for 28 yards on their respective opportunities. Kayne Roberts saw five carries for 18 yards. Makai Jackson handled the ball more than any skill player for the Mountaineers. Jackson caught six passes for 54 yards and carried the ball twice for 24 yards. Over two games, Jackson might be the most versatile player as far as workload is concerned. Jackson is only fourth on the team in total touches with 11, but has scored in both games. His role only looks to increase as defenses have to prepare for him in all situations.
East Carolina has completely reformed their offensive approach. They were one of the worst offensive teams in the country a year ago. They only scored twenty points or more in four games in 2023. The Pirates hired John David Baker from Ole Miss over the offseason, who spent his previous three years in Oxford. Baker serves as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks for East Carolina, and has quickly improved the output from a yardage standpoint. Quarterback Jake Garcia, who started his career at Miami, transferred in from Missouri this year and has started both games this year. He’s averaging 295 passing yards a game on the young season. However, the number that is sticking out is the number of interceptions he has thrown. Seven interceptions in two games is a lot. It’s worrisome when you throw three interceptions against Norfolk State, and then follow it up with four against Old Dominion. The Monarchs collected just eleven interceptions a year ago and were unable to secure one in the first game against South Carolina. So when you see the low scoring game against Old Dominion, that is why. On top of four interceptions, East Carolina punted five times and kicked two field goals. The touchdowns they scored were on their opening possession of the first and second half, both plays of twenty or more yards by Rahjai Harris. Basically, the Pirates are making hay between the twenties, but are scoring on just 50% of their red zone drives and have converted just three of eight such drives into touchdowns. The Pirates have possessed the ball a ton over two games, and are good at keeping the chains moving, but always seem to become stagnant once the field shrinks and there is less space to work with. When they figure out how to finish in the end zone, they’ll become a dangerous team with their defense that is more than capable of winning games. A lot of the same characters return to an App State offense that did not have much issue putting up numbers on East Carolina last year. Joey Aguilar was getting the feel to being the starting quarterback, and played really well besides an ill-advised opposite field throw that became a pick-six for the Pirates. The Mountaineers trailed 21-10 last year in the second quarter, but reeled off five of the games next six scores and ran away with a double-digit win. The Mountaineers should be able to attack the ECU defense, especially considering what their eyes saw last week dealing with a lot of tight coverage.
The First Pick
Blackbeards 16
Mountaineers 31
